Fragility and preparedness

One thing that our wonderful modern life in the United States does? It insulates us and isolates us from reality.

Sometimes that’s good – because ignorance truly is bliss and I’m sorry but every so often we all need ways to not burden (or unburden) our minds and hearts of stuff. But for the most part, ignorance and isolation isn’t promoted as a successful long-term life-strategy.

The US is being hit by a pretty major winter storm. Temperatures here in Austin are in the teens overnight not getting above freezing during the day. I know to a lot of my northern friends sitting at sub-zero (Fahrenheit) temperatures right now, but for this area of the country this is unusually harsh.

What makes it worse? State-wide in Texas they had rolling blackouts yesterday and are predicting more for today. Why?

Burst water pipes at two coal-fired power plants forced them to shut down, triggering rolling power cuts across the state, the lieutenant governor said Wednesday.

Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst said this is something that “should not happen.”

Dewhurst said he was told that water pipes at two plants, Oak Grove and Sand Hill, forced them to cut electricity production.

Natural gas power plants that should have provided backup had difficulty starting due to low pressure in the supply lines, also caused by the cold weather.

That’s right, it shouldn’t have happened. But it did. Why did it happen? Looks like some combination of accidents, technical reasons, and perhaps poor planning.

I’m not here to point fingers, but rather to point out. To point out just how fragile our modern system is. Look at the uprising in Egypt and how instantly all Internet access was cut off. I recall a couple of years ago I was teleconferencing with the home office in California when everything went down. Turns out that some vandals severed the network cables and took out entire towns of phone, Internet, you name it (except radio), all of those cables went through a single manhole and left cities without access to emergency services. Part of the design intent of the Internet is if something goes down it’ll continue to route around to find its destination, but we have too many single-point bottlenecks such that when they go down it is a major problem.

We take much for granted, because we’re blissfully ignorant and unaware of how everything works and is put together. How the very fabric of our society is that fragile and untenable. Redundancy and backup solutions are good, but even those can fail. In the end, we’re humans, living with human constructs… mistakes will be made, things will fail. Best we can do is be prepared not for if they will happen, but when they will happen.

2 thoughts on “Fragility and preparedness

  1. Something I didn’t think about until I got to work and read about others having pipes freeze up — filling up some water jugs.

    Now we have 10 gallons sitting in the breakfast nook just in case. We have ways of staying warm, having light, cooking, and now water for necessary functions.

    I am stunned at the number of people who make no preparations at all. Not even for bad weather.

    I was on 80% salary for most of 2009, my wife hasn’t worked a full week since the middle of 2010 (cancer sucks!!) yet, our lifestyle hasn’t been greatly impacted.

    We buy food when it is on sale. We stock up on things we use frequently. Pantry is getting a little thin but we are still doing okay.

    How can people not prepare for lean times, for times when things go wrong?

    • I try not to get too harsh on people about being prepared because we aren’t born knowing to do this stuff… some how we have to learn. But what gets to be a problem is when people don’t learn… like how I expect all the grocery stores in Austin tonight will be clear of bread and milk because of the 1″ of snow predicted to fall tonight. Have you learned nothing from the past?

      But how can we not prepare? I’ve wondered really what’s changed in our society. We don’t prepare. We don’t think ahead. We don’t save. We don’t try to use things up, we just dispose and get a new one. What fundamentally changed?

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